Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.494110 0.563863 0.638910 0.725530 0.822621 0.927962 1.050770
2025-06-08 0.377253 0.470288 0.578366 0.712679 0.874558 1.062779 1.297575
2025-06-15 0.304541 0.412186 0.546408 0.724795 0.954219 1.237772 1.612954
2025-06-22 0.240807 0.352721 0.501991 0.713295 1.001903 1.379081 1.905432
2025-06-29 0.198869 0.313663 0.476662 0.721137 1.073738 1.558139 2.266734
2025-07-06 0.159465 0.270358 0.437653 0.702846 1.105536 1.685188 2.570950
2025-07-13 0.138602 0.250874 0.429724 0.727523 1.200652 1.909937 3.035382
2025-07-20 0.122065 0.235032 0.424413 0.754474 1.301132 2.151553 3.547689
2025-07-27 0.105322 0.215491 0.409604 0.763161 1.372512 2.354358 4.018826
2025-08-03 0.090401 0.196253 0.391975 0.763875 1.429578 2.538397 4.475557
2025-08-10 0.077675 0.178647 0.374259 0.761340 1.479618 2.714040 4.932378
2025-08-17 0.067545 0.164224 0.360059 0.762770 1.535777 2.903640 5.427038
2025-08-24 0.059372 0.152524 0.349675 0.770599 1.605493 3.124992 5.999303
2025-08-31 0.051077 0.138825 0.333013 0.763612 1.646196 3.298050 6.501230
2025-09-07 0.045941 0.131480 0.328612 0.780923 1.735665 3.567605 7.198912
2025-09-14 0.039613 0.119793 0.312692 0.771490 1.770143 3.736539 7.723956
2025-09-21 0.035437 0.112759 0.306266 0.781816 1.846088 3.990985 8.429708
2025-09-28 0.030226 0.101674 0.288294 0.763366 1.858629 4.121252 8.905512
2025-10-05 0.028026 0.098700 0.289893 0.790782 1.973685 4.466525 9.829412
2025-10-12 0.026126 0.096203 0.292308 0.820402 2.096496 4.837067 10.830024
2025-10-19 0.023588 0.091108 0.287003 0.830146 2.174727 5.120249 11.672347
2025-10-26 0.021024 0.085289 0.278731 0.831163 2.232468 5.363956 12.449639
2025-11-02 0.018655 0.079516 0.269586 0.828588 2.281148 5.591406 13.208077